Research
Papers under review
Global Games of Coup d’État: Identification and Estimation
Matthew J. Baker, Khaled Eltokhy, and Weichao Guo · 2026
A structural global-games model of coup attempts and success that separates incentives to rebel from regime strength, coordination, and information quality.
Demand Estimation with Variable Choice Sets: A Likelihood Correction for Nested Logit
Matthew J. Baker and Lisa M. George · 2026
We derive the exact likelihood for the Berry (1994) share-form nested logit when choice sets vary across markets, identify a Jacobian correction that matters for within-nest substitution, and apply the estimator to Medicare Advantage plan proliferation.
SSRN · DOI · GitHub / exactnl
Forthcoming publications
A Model of Enclosures: Coordination, Conflict, and Efficiency in the Transformation of Land Property Rights
Matthew J. Baker and Jonathan Conning · 2026
Review of Economic Studies, forthcoming.
A model of the transformation of common-property regimes in which private enclosure decisions can be strategic complements or substitutes, with implications for coordination, conflict, and efficiency.
Cultural Transmission, Property Rights, and Treatment of the Elderly
Matthew J. Baker and Joyce P. Jacobsen · 2026
Journal of Population Economics, forthcoming.
A model of how property rights, production technologies, and cultural transmission interact to shape the treatment and economic position of the elderly.
Publications and other research
For a complete publication list, software packages, and other research outputs, see my full CV or RePEc profile.